Washington has all its chips in on him, and the organization will want to see his capabilities as a No. The Wizards team that Poole is on now has such little scoring punch that I won't be surprised if he keeps that 34.0 USG% and is asked to take 20+ shots per game. However, those numbers rise to 27.9 PPG on 34.0 USG% per 36 minutes with Steph Curry off the floor. I have faith in Poole going 20+ PPG, but not 41 wins.Īnyway, Poole averaged 20.4 PPG in 30 MPG on 29.2 USG% with the Warriors last season while in a sixth-man role. 500, and all but one has averaged 20+ PPG. But I'll point out: over the past 10 years, only two MIPs have been on teams below. I think Poole to win Most Improved Player will be a popular wager. Make of it what you will, but the rookie has a 27.7 USG% in preseason and is taking 17.8 FGAs and 9.3 FTAs per 36 minutes. But it's difficult for me to imagine looking at Holmgren's stats at the end of the year to see him averaging 10.2 points.
I understand why bettors might be hesitant since Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is an automatic 30 points per game, while Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey should combine for another 30-40. Holmgren could easily reach this number every game just from three-pointers and lob dunks, let alone fast-break chances and iso opportunities. Joel Embiid (+850) - Too much team uncertainty, and I don't think voters will crown him back-to-backĮveryone else (Steph Curry is next at 15-to-1) could be considered a longshot, so they don't belong in the same argument as Jokic.Jayson Tatum (+800) - arguably too much help with Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday joining, but is my favorite alternative bet in this range.Luka Doncic (+600) - team isn't good enough.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (+600) - too much help with Damian Lillard.Ī quick breakdown of why I'm dismissing other popular options: His numbers are legendary, he's coming off a 53-win season, and the best help he has is a fringe-fringe All-Star candidate in Jamal Murray. Jokic answers the three primary questions more "correctly" than anyone else, and you could argue he was snubbed last year. Bonus: Have they been snubbed before? Conversely, is there voter fatigue?.How much help do they have? Less is better.Does the team have a strong chance for 50+ wins?.Can the player put up historic numbers? Better yet, have they already done it?.
Where are we looking this season? Alex Barutha
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